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Some conjectures about ranks of elliptic curves over ℚ

[PPVW2016] 8.2(b): for 1 ≤ r ≤ 20, the number of elliptic curves over ℚ with rank r and naïve height at most H is asymptotically H ^ ((21 - r) / 24 + o(1)). Note: ℰ_H in 8.2(b) should be ℰ_{≤H}, see the statement of Theorem 7.3.3. When r = 1, the ex...

Mathematical statement

[PPVW2016] 8.2(b): for 1 ≤ r ≤ 20, the number of elliptic curves over ℚ with rank r and naïve height at most H is asymptotically H ^ ((21 - r) / 24 + o(1)). Note: ℰ_H in 8.2(b) should be ℰ_{≤H}, see the statement of Theorem 7.3.3. When r = 1, the exponent is 20 / 24 = 5 / 6, which agrees with the exponent in card_heightLE_div_pow_five_div_six_tensto and is consistent with half_rank_zero_and_half_rank_one.

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Pinned Lean formulation 1

rank_height_count_asymptotic

Canonical source
Complete statement target, proof intentionally absentLean 4
theorem rank_height_count_asymptotic (r : ) (h₁ : 1  r) (h₂ : r  20) :     f :   , atTop.Tendsto f (𝓝 0)        H : , 1 < H  {E  heightLE H | r  E.rank}.ncard = (H : ) ^ ((21 - r) / 24 + f H) := by  sorry
Statement source
Formal Conjectures
Lean version
v4.27.0
Placeholder
Present; no proof artifact
Source evidence
Pinned source index
Fidelity review
Community formulation

References